Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 2.404179e-02 0.029046 0.034302 0.040190 0.046564 0.053218 0.060657
2026-02-01 1.624863e-02 0.023092 0.030822 0.040000 0.050422 0.061742 0.074830
2026-02-08 1.045506e-02 0.017797 0.026738 0.037927 0.051154 0.065966 0.083517
2026-02-15 7.104923e-03 0.014608 0.024430 0.037296 0.052996 0.070986 0.092684
2026-02-22 5.144846e-03 0.012762 0.023419 0.037914 0.056045 0.077178 0.102991
2026-03-01 3.718566e-03 0.011312 0.022665 0.038647 0.059067 0.083207 0.112999
2026-03-08 2.813575e-03 0.010444 0.022552 0.040083 0.062860 0.090079 0.123928
2026-03-15 1.957105e-03 0.009372 0.021982 0.040797 0.065663 0.095700 0.133336
2026-03-22 1.806515e-03 0.009691 0.023486 0.044311 0.072010 0.105601 0.147806
2026-03-29 9.679762e-04 0.008075 0.021804 0.043312 0.072492 0.108307 0.153677
2026-04-05 5.730271e-04 0.007296 0.021347 0.043952 0.075037 0.113495 0.162477
2026-04-12 2.455796e-04 0.006335 0.020448 0.043872 0.076579 0.117405 0.169708
2026-04-19 6.541562e-05 0.005553 0.019826 0.044255 0.078862 0.122413 0.178508
2026-04-26 1.675637e-08 0.004700 0.018943 0.044195 0.080535 0.126669 0.186429
2026-05-03 NaN 0.003368 0.016800 0.042028 0.079229 0.127081 0.189585
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002620 0.015686 0.041364 0.079913 0.129967 0.195731
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002267 0.015409 0.042016 0.082409 0.135155 0.204704
2026-05-24 NaN 0.001977 0.015224 0.042789 0.085056 0.140529 0.213899
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001860 0.015483 0.044303 0.088751 0.147258 0.224779
2026-06-07 NaN 0.001615 0.015310 0.045054 0.091346 0.152551 0.233868
2026-06-14 NaN 0.001911 0.016828 0.048750 0.098180 0.163373 0.249857
2026-06-21 NaN 0.001377 0.015642 0.047700 0.098162 0.165252 0.254685
2026-06-28 NaN 0.001176 0.015454 0.048373 0.100616 0.170347 0.263521